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« Help a Reader: Whole Life Policy | Main | Investment Strategies Part 3: Rebalance Regularly Between Asset Classes and Subcategories »

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I don't find it hard to believe that people do this.

Alcoholics are likely to drink more when they are told that they need to cut back on the drinking. They feel pain because of the damage they are doing to their lives and they know on some level of consciousness that they are causing that pain with their behavior. So they need to increase their efforts at denial. Drinking more "persuades" them that there is not a problem.

We can also "persuade" ourselves that a recession is not a problem by spending more. There is a logic there (even though it is of course a mixed-up emotion-rooted logic).

Rob

I had a girlfriend that used to say "In for a little, in for a lot" whenever she overspent for something. I suppose to her way of thinking, if she was going to fret about a little bit of money, she might as well fret about a lot more, and at least enjoy what she spent it on.

On the other hand, if the anticipated inflation tsunami hits in the next year or so, then now is the time to buy, when there are so many sales and discounts.

I can see and understand people doing this, but I am not sure if this is what we need -- more blaming on situation.

People spending more is good for the frugal among us. Its all a Ponzi scheme. We need people spending, spending, spending so that our stocks and houses go up. Then as we age we sell out, take the profit, and let the next guy do the same. Ever stop to think about CNBC talking about "confidence" in the market etc? That's right, its a confidence game - a Ponzi game. Ever actually do the Math on things like "dollar cost averaging"? Its a scam - and its proven to return less than alternative strategies whether one does historical analysis or Monte Carlo simulations on it. But boy is it useful to get people paying into the brokerage firms. Luckily most people are very weak mathematically so the wool can be pulled over their eyes easily (I include most MBAs here since the level of mathematics involved is a joke - start talking about autoregressive moving-average models over generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic processes and see their eyes glaze over and then hit them with the money pitch on why our particular high-frequency strategy can volatiltiy pump - more nonsense - and sign 'em up).

Same goes for Social Security. It only works if we have a growing population that is paying in. That's why we need more legal immigration. Someone gets a graduate degree from a US university? Staple a greencard to the diploma, get them into the workplace, get them spending and paying into SS so the rest of us can retire. (Illegal immigrants are useful for cleaning the toilets at low cost so lets not discount them either).

The recent bubbles were trouble only in that we let things get a biy out of control. We need to keep the greed under control so that we can sustainably grow the Ponzi scheme rather than let it get out of balance by letting too many little people in too quickly. House prices need to go up but lets not hand out too many liar loans.

Its like a set of batteries. Slowly drain them but don't make them explode in your face.

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