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February 07, 2007

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It's impossible to tell which funds you should buy, but easy to tell which funds you SHOULDN'T buy. :)

Even if past performance says something useful about probable future performance, a fund that did exceptionally well last year is likely to start out this year rather massively overpriced, so that even if the fundamentals remain strong and the underlying assets perform well, net yield for new entrants will be signficantly reduced.

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