MSNBC recently reported that housing foreclosures jumped 30 percent in the third quarter. While they noted that 45 out of the 50 states reported higher levels of foreclosures than last year, they also said the highest concentrations were in a handful of markets that made up more than half the total. The markets? They are: California, Arizona, Florida, Nevada, Ohio, Texas and Michigan.
Yep, Michigan, my home state. Seems like we're in the hotbed of foreclosures now (though much of the action is in Detroit -- across the state from me) which means it's getting to be a better and better time to be a buyer. I've got my eyes out -- I'm hooked into my realtor's database for any new houses on the market -- but I don't yet have an inside track on getting foreclosure information. I'm considering subscribing to a service like RealtyTrac or Foreclosure.com, but at $40 a month, they seem a bit pricey.
Anyone have any experience with using either of these sites (or something like them)?
According to the charts that I have seen, the worst is still in the future.
Subprime rate adjustments will peak at March next year. Once it adjusts it may be some time before the houses go into foreclosures.
Another thing is that, overall, rate adjustments peak in 2011, if you are not just looking at subprime. I don't know what kind of foreclosure rates it will be for those who are not in subprime.
It just seems unlikely that the worst is behind us.
Posted by: Edmund | November 10, 2007 at 04:11 PM
Foreclosure.com has money saving packages.
There are some good buys in MI.
Whether or not more foreclosures will mean better buys is doubtfull. After all, the banks offering these houses (REO's) are, in most cases, giving them away.
Here's what I advise on #14 on my "getting started page.
14. To find a house to remodel or renovate or even as just an alternative to building your own home, you might find a 25% savings on a foreclosed house at foreclosure.com
Be alert: get legal advice, an inspection, and a good appraisal.
Buy only REO’s. Those are foreclosed properties now owned by the lender. They have already been taken back from the borrower who is now out of the picture.
Most of these homes need rehab, but with you acting as your own GC, you can rehab cheaper!
Cheers!
Carl Heldmann
Posted by: Carl Heldmann | November 10, 2007 at 05:29 PM
I was referring to the general impact foreclosures have on the overall real estate market.
A 25% discount sounds nice, but I believe even after that, we would still be above the inflation adjusted historical average for housing prices.
The run up in the early 2000s is an unusual event, and there is a long way to go before things are back to "normal".
Posted by: Edmund | November 10, 2007 at 07:40 PM
It's interesting to see some of the differences in real estate markets nation wide. Some places have just fallen through the floor, where as other markets such as here in South Dakota, prices have remained relatively unaffected.
Posted by: FinanceIsPersonal.com | November 11, 2007 at 11:02 AM
Hold off a bit longer. The majority of the exploding ARMs adjust by next August so it should get really ugly around that period. What is most interesting about this housing decline is the fact that it is based on market cycles and not economic conditions. Most declines in real estate have occured when the local economy tanked. The Texas real estate in the 80s was due to the oil business suffering; NY and California experienced declines in the 90s when the local economies suffered.
If we see a recession, this will only add gas to the fire. This market cycle correction will really see downward pressure. And, I think we aren't too far from a recession as it stands.
Posted by: Swim Upstream to Wealth | November 11, 2007 at 06:31 PM
I think it's true that recession could be around the corner. We'll see how much the fed will try to lower rates.
I think inflation is also a concern. If we go through an inflationary period, buying a house may not be such a crappy deal after all.
It is also true that real estate is a regional in nature. For example, it is very difficult to get a jumbo loan at this point. Of course this will have a greater impact on places where people borrow a lot of money for their mortgages (such as CA and NY). You would expect this to have less of an impact in areas such as South Dakota.
Posted by: Edmund | November 11, 2007 at 07:22 PM
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Posted by: Foreclosure.com | November 12, 2007 at 05:07 PM
Hi! I work at CurrentForeclosures.com a foreclosures site. Although some foreclosed properties may offer good deals, it is always prudent to go check around and make researches. That is why foreclosures sites may offer valuable tips or info that may help potential buyers make a reasonable good decision.
Posted by: Catheriner | November 15, 2007 at 10:10 PM
Hi, For the most part you can get a list of foreclosures from ocwen.com for free. Often the lenders will have their forclosed properties listed on their website. I have a site set up by my realtor called listing book that gives me all for sale properties in the area I am looking, this includes foreclosures.
Posted by: Ruth Chiuchiarelli | December 06, 2007 at 01:34 PM
Good info! Thank you for the post. Better to check his link for more Foreclosures.
Posted by: Dahlia Sommers | June 17, 2011 at 02:47 PM