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October 16, 2008


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I think while this is a challenging time for investors and our country, it represents a great opportunity for financial bloggers to provide some wisdom not normally found in the mainstream media.

The Kondratieff Winter/end of the Long Wave tends to last about 20 years; sometimes as short as 10 and sometimes as long as 30. It'll be a while before things "get back to normal".

I have no idea what that means. But technical analysis is only valid when done in context of the greater economic/financial picture. And in this case, the economic climate isn't looking too good. I'd say conditions will improve once this country starts focusing on actually increasing our output and creating jobs -- that is, improving the "fundamentals" of our economy. None of this "fake wealth" created through the housing bubble. Only then will the marekt really start to rise.

Rick -

You can also look up "grand supercycle", "k-waves" and "long waves".

Go Ahead Dude! You made the number two spot on the list. Keep up the good work! :)

Others have predicted a a protracted recession/depression as the boomers age beyond their peak spending years.

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